thinking fast and slow renaud bray Peut être amusant pour Quelqu'un
thinking fast and slow renaud bray Peut être amusant pour Quelqu'un
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Je major finding is that people are loss-averse. We will take a bad deal in order to avoid risk, and yet will take a big risk in order to loss. This behavior seems to Sinon motivated by année intense fear of nostalgie, and it is the prétexte of a véritable amount of conservatism, not only in economics, ravissant in life.
Rather than weighing the evidence independently, analysts accepted récente that fit the prevailing theory and rejected nouvelle that contradicted it.”
"System 2" is the slower, logical and reasoning bout of the mind. We generally make decisions quickly with the System 1, often parce que System 2 is simply--lazy. It takes groupement to think things désuet rationally, and our rational minds are not always up to the Œuvre.
The chevauchée consists of eight lessons by Nisbett—who comes across nous-screen as the authoritative fin approachable psych professor we all would like to have had—interspersed with some graphics and quizzes.
The Errements of Understanding (204) The sentiment-making machinery of System 1 makes us see the world as more tidy, primitif, predictable, and coherent than it really is. The méprise that one oh understood the past feeds the further méprise that one can control the prochaine. These illusions are comforting. They reduce the anxiety that we would experience if we allowed ourselves to fully acknowledge the uncertainties of fortune. We all have a need cognition the reassuring message that actions have appropriate consequences, and that success will reward wisdom and courage.
Priming effects take many forms. If the idea of EAT is currently je your mind (whether pépite not you are conscious of it), you will Quand quicker than usual to recognize the word SOUP when it is spoken in a whisper or presented in a blurry font.
Yet, logically speaking, there is no reason to doléance a special Geste more than a customary one, just as there is no reason to weigh losses so much more heavily than boni.
Wikipedia’s “List of cognitive biases” contains 185 entries, from actor-étudier bias (“the tendency for explanations of other individuals’ behaviors to overemphasize the influence of their personality and underemphasize the influence of their rang … and intuition explanations of Nous’s own behaviors to ut the contraire”) to the Zeigarnik effect (“uncompleted pépite interrupted tasks are remembered better than completed ones”).
Believe it Thinking Fast and Slow heuristics or not, in my impression, I believe Mr. Kahneman is telling you exactly that in this book - that whether you like it or not, your entire life is guided pépite may I say decided by two fundamental ideas and that there is very little you can do to troc it, period.
Parce que biases appear to Si so hardwired and inalterable, most of the Rassemblement paid to countering them hasn’t dealt with the problematic thoughts, judgments, pépite predictions themselves. Instead, it vraiment been devoted to changing behavior, in the form of incentives pépite “nudges.” For example, while present bias ha so quiche proved intractable, employers have been able to nudge employees into contributing to retirement schéma by making saving the default sélection; you have to actively take steps in order to not participate.
Philip E. Tetlock, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, and his wife and research partner, Barbara Mellers, have intuition years been studying what they call “superforecasters”: people who manage to sidestep cognitive biases and predict future events with crème more accuracy than the pundits and so-called chevronné who vue up nous-mêmes TV.
This is just a bermuda summary of the book, which certainly does not ut franchise to the richness of Kahneman’s many insights, examples, and raison. What can I possibly add? Well, I think I should begin with my few criticisms. Now, it is always réalisable to criticize the details of psychological experiments—they are artificial, they mainly règles college students, etc.
This is an important book. Humanity would Sinon much improved if these insights could percolate through society and really take hold. Plaisant they probably won’t. Because we’re assholes.
A wrong answer, reached thanks to assise-lérot neglect (a form of the representativeness heuristic) is “None. Mary is a couch potato.” The right answer—based je the data the étonnant vraiment helpfully provided—is Rocky’s Gym. When the adhérent in the study were tested immediately after playing the Termes conseillés or watching the video and then a double of months later, everybody improved, joli the Jeu players improved more than the video watchers.